College Football Week 12 Picks – Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

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Dak Prescott and the top-ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs have successfully surmounted every challenge put before them to date to keep undefeated on the College Football Week 12 Picks season. But the Bulldogs’Cinderella season could be on the brink of hitting midnight once they go the fortress that is the Bryant-Denny Stadium to manage the Alabama Crimson Tide.

College Football Week 12 PicksNo. 1-ranked Mississippi State handily took care of business with a 45-16 win over UT Martin on Saturday to keep undefeated ahead of the visit to Tuscaloosa. However, the 29-point win was nowhere near to within the 45-point spread. The Bulldogs have now didn’t cover in three straight games.

Quarterback Dak Prescott scored three more touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) while running back Josh Robinson had a notably reduced workload to keep him fresh for Alabama. Offensively, the Bulldogs will undoubtedly be relying heavily on those two to break past Alabama’s always formidable run defense, which could be the toughest unit they’ve faced this season.

Probably the most comparable defense they’ve seen up to now was LSU in Week 4. They passed that test with flying colors, with Prescott accounting for 373 total yards (105 on the ground) and three touchdowns, while Robinson had 197 yards on a season-high 12.3 yards per carry.

But if Alabama’s run defense performs well enough to force Mississippi State into throwing the ball more, Prescott must certanly be careful not to hand the Tide extra possessions. In his three previous games against conference opponents, Prescott threw five interceptions.

Mississippi State’s own ability to force takeaways may also be crucial, because they’ve hardly shown they can stop the pass. The Bulldogs are undoubtedly the worst pass defense in the SEC, allowing well over 300 yards per game, but they’ve composed for it by getting 12 interceptions.

Alabama’s playoff hopes were on life support against LSU at Death Valley, but the Crimson Tide weathered the storm to accomplish a gritty 20-13 win in overtime. The sum total went under in four of the Tide’s last five games.

Blake Sims and the Alabama offense were mostly held in check by LSU, while they produced just 315 yards of total offense. However, the Tide shouldn’t have a this sort of problem against a Mississippi State defense that is stopping the second-most total yards per game in the conference.

Running back TJ Yeldon injured his ankle against LSU, that could force Alabama to go to a more pass-oriented attack against Mississippi State if he can’t recover in time. Which should suit Alabama just fine, especially with a deep threat like Amari Cooper going up against the Bulldog secondary.

Cooper has the absolute most plays of 30-plus yards of any receiver in the SEC with nine, while Mississippi State is tied for the absolute most 30-plus yard pass plays allowed with 15.

Alabama can be very well-suited to contain Mississippi State’s great running game. Despite stopping 183 rushing yards against LSU, over 100 yards significantly more than they averaged heading into the game, the Tide gave up just 3.3 yards per carry and didn’t permit the Tigers a rushing touchdown. Alabama has abandoned only two rushing scores all season, the fewest in the united states by a comfortable margin.

College Football Week 12 Picks – Alabama’s run defense stops Prescott and the Bulldogs in their tracks while the Crimson Tide end Mississippi State’s bid for an undefeated season. Create a betting account now and be a part of another huge SEC West showdown.

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