Free MLB Baseball Picks – Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Diamondbacks Thursday, June 27 2013


In 2012, Stephen Strasburg excelled, only to be shut down by his organization before the playoffs began. Now, Strasburg will try to shut down the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals – Thursday, June 27
Sport betting line: Nationals -150

Why Arizona Will Win

This is not high-stakes poker, but there’s still a sense in the air that this game is going to be viewed with great anticipation and eagerness by baseball journalists and betting gurus. It’s as sexy a matchup as one could realistically hope for, given the records of the two teams. Washington is scuffling this season, but this will feel like a high-stakes throwdown given the quality of the pitching matchup on Thursday in the District of Columbia.

Arizona starting pitcher Patrick Corbin is not only 9-0 on the season. He has a glistening 2.19 ERA. He has been the backbone of this pitching staff, the central reason the D-Backs have been able to climb to first place in the National League West. Getting dependable production from Corbin on a regular basis has made a huge difference for Arizona, whose starting rotation – thanks to many breakout performances in 2013 – is outperforming the San Francisco Giants’ more celebrated starting staff. Corbin’s rock-solid consistency is very hard to bet against. Moreover, Corbin will be facing a Washington batting order that has been impotent all season long. The matchup between Arizona’s pitching and Washington’s hitting is a mismatch, and it should enable the Diamondbacks to win unless Washington starter Stephen Strasburg proves to be untouchable in this tussle.

When the best online betting sites tackle this clash, they will readily point out that the Nationals have a pitcher who is every bit as good as Corbin. Stephen Strasburg was extremely effective for the Nats in 2012 before the organization – fearing for his long-term health – kept him out of the playoffs to reduce strain on his body. The decision was a heavily criticized one, especially after Washington lost in five games to the St. Louis Cardinals in the National League Division Series. However, Strasburg does have a fresher arm this season, and that arm is still fresh due to time Strasburg missed earlier this season (a non-arm injury suffered weeks ago). Strasburg’s won-loss record is not impressive because his team has not been able to give him much of any run support. However, Strasburg’s ERA is a superb 2.40, just two-tenths of a run higher than Corbin’s mark. One has to think that Corbin is eventually going to absorb a negative decision. Pitchers don’t escape June without at least one loss on the stat sheet. One can certainly say that the odds should shift to Washington and Strasburg in this contest. Arizona has the better team, but if you were to claim that the pendulum should swing against Corbin, you would have a legitimate point to make.

The Nationals have been flailing and failing at the plate this year, and against a quality pitcher such as Corbin, their struggles are likely to continue. Take Arizona here. MLB Betting Pick: Arizona.

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