MLB

Free MLB Picks – Monday Night Good Value For a Underdog

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Looking at a Last place team in this spot with National League Central might actually hold a bit of value Monday night when Edwin Jackson and those Chicago Cubs (25-35, 10-21 away) pay a visit to fellow right-hander Charlie Morton and the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-33, 17-15 home) in the very first game of a four-game series from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA at 7:05 ET in a casino game on ROOT.

Monday Night Good Value For a Underdog The posted money line at 5 Dimes Sportsbook has Chicago as a decided underdog with this contest at current odds of +138.

The Cubs may take last place, but at the very least they no longer own the worst record in baseball like they did for a time, as after burning money for a lot of the first season the Cubs are improving and had a five-game winning streak snapped in a 4-3 loss to the Miami Marlins Sunday. In fact Chicago does not own the worst record in the National League any more with the Philadelphia Phillies one-half game worse at 25-36.

Morton remains just 2-7 for the entire year, although his 3.31 ERA could claim that he has been pitching in bad luck. However, that’s not really the case at all as Morton has actually pitched in best of luck while getting away with allowing a .279 BABIP. He also comes with an ordinary ratio of 54 strikeouts vs. 29 walks in 73.1 innings, helping result in a 4.03 FIP that suggests some negative regression because surprising ERA is on the horizon.

Put simply, this can be a rare case where in fact the 2-7 record actually paints an improved picture of the entire year Morton is having than the ERA, and that appears to offer value to the Chicago Cubs at a wonderful underdog price in Pittsburgh on Monday. Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Pirates are 0-5 in Mortons last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Free MLB Picks Bet on Chicago Cubs.

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