Free NCAAB Picks – Illinois vs Indiana Friday, March 15, 2013


Free NCAAB Picks For Friday. The University of Illinois’ signature win this season was on a buzzer-beating layup to beat then-No. 1 Indiana 74-72 in Champaign. The Hoosiers get a chance for revenge on Friday in the Big Ten Tournament, while another Illini upset would assure the team of at least an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament.

Illinois advanced to the quarterfinals with a 51-49 win over Minnesota on Thursday. Brandon Paul scored 25 points and hit a fadeaway jumper at the buzzer. Illinois (22-11) led by as much as 12 but was trailing by three when D.J. Richardson nailed a 3 with 47 seconds left to tie it at 49. That basket came after the Illini missed four shots on the possession. The Gophers (20-12) had a chance to win it, but Austin Hollins stepped on the sideline after catching an inbounds pass with 14 seconds left. Paul then raced up the court and pulled up for the winner. Paul was the only player to score in double figures for the Illini, who shot just 32.1 percent. They were also outrebounded 38-26.

Free PicksIndiana last took the court on Sunday and won a thriller, 72-71 at Michigan to clinch the outright Big Ten title for the first time since the 1992-93 season. Cody Zeller made a go-ahead layup with 13 seconds left and altered Trey Burke’s shot at the other end as the Hoosiers finished the season sweep. The Hoosiers (26-5, 14-4) trailed by five in the final minute but took advantage when the Wolverines were unable to close it out at the foul line. Zeller had 25 points and 10 rebounds. The last time the Hoosiers won the league regular-season crown outright, Bob Knight still was coaching in Bloomington.

The Big Ten Tournament hasn’t been kind to IU, as it has reached just one championship game and has never won it. When these teams met Feb. 7, Illinois senior forward Tyler Griffey took an inbounds pass with 0.9 seconds to play and made a wide-open layup for the win. IU coach Tom Crean said the play was a lot like the other breakdowns in the Hoosiers’ game that let Illinois climb back from a 12-point halftime deficit. It was the second-largest halftime deficit for any team in a win over No. 1 since the 1996-97 season.

Indiana shot 50 percent from the field (25 of 50), 52.9 percent from 3-point range (9 of 17) and 93 percent from the free throw line (13 of 14). The Hoosiers led by an eight- to 10-point margin for most of the second half. Indiana became just the 7th No. 1 team to lose when shooting at least 50 percent from the floor. No top-ranked team had lost over that span when shooting at least 50 percent from long range, nor had a No. 1 team lost when shooting at least 50 percent from the floor AND 90 percent from the free throw line.

Illinois owns victories over the No. 1 and No. 3-ranked teams in the current Top 25, defeating both Gonzaga and Indiana. Butler is the only other team with wins over the Bulldogs and Hoosiers, and the Illini defeated Butler as well. Illinois’ six wins against the RPI Top 25 is the third-highest total nationally, trailing only Indiana (8) and Duke (7).

Betting trends: Indiana is 16-13-0 ATS this season and 5-4 on the road. It is 13-14-0 over/under and 4-5 on the road. Illinois, which was a 3-point underdog in the first meeting, is 12-17-0 ATS this season and 5-6 on road. The Illini are 11-16 over/under and 2-8 away from home. Free NCAAB Picks Indiana 75, Illinois 70 .


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