Horse Racing Picks – 2013 $750,000 Whitney Invitational Handicap Picks

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Race 10 (Saturday, August 3, 2013: post time: 5:45 p.m./ET; 2:45 p.m./PT) 1 1/8 miles on main track (three-year-olds and up) Horse Racing Picks.

Horse Racing Picks2012 Breeders’ Cup Classic winner FORT LARNED is the defending champ and 122 lb. highweight today, but his return to the winners circle this year could be complicated due to other early speed types in this race with similar running patterns to his. Here’s my take on whether pace will make the race:

#1 SUCCESSFUL DAN, the older half-brother of 2012 Horse of the Year WISE DAN, has been treated with kid gloves since 2010, with only 5 visits to the starting gate since then.

#2 MUCHO MACHO MAN has had a slow start to the year as evidenced by finishing third in a five horse field six weeks ago at Belmont Park in an overnight stakes race.

#3 FORT LARNED would become just the second horse in the 85-year history of the Whitney to win it in consecutive years (.Discovery in 1935 and 1936 was the other).

#4 CROSS TRAFFIC tries two turns for the first time in his brief four race career, but brings dangerous early speed to the party.

#5 RON THE GREEK could put in the final late run for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott if the pace up front gets too hot.

#6 ALPHA is the horse for course being undefeated here in three starts, including dead-heating for the win in the 2012 Travers Stakes (G1).

#7 CSABA would be upgraded if the main track was sloppy on Saturday.

#8 FAST FALCON is just 1-for-15 in his career and would light up the toteboard if he accomplished the unexpected. 100% Sign Up Bonus Bet.

SELECTIONS
1. #5 RON THE GREEK  – Pace meltdown could benefit him most. .
2. #3 FORT LARNED  – Beat the Champ.
3. #4 CROSS TRAFFIC  – Another speedster that wants the front.

LONG SHOT VALUE PLAY: #6 ALPHA – Loves this surface.

WAGERING STRATEGY
Strong possibility that FORT LARNED will be overbet simply on his reputation rather than the pace dynamics of this specific race, creating an overlay on the horse who finished a solid second in this race last year (as the favorite): RON THE GREEK.

BANKROLL PLAY ($50 Budget)
$50 Win #5: RON THE GREEK

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