Horse Racing Selections – Los Alamitos Winter Derby Saturday, February 16, 2013

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It will take you longer to read this analysis than for these 10 quick three-year-old quarter horses trying to break the track record for this distance (19.067 seconds).

Horse Racing#1 REMEMBERING SPENCE was gelded prior to his last start, and the ultimate equipment change sure seemed to work as he posted the fastest qualifying time in the trials. Will have to break alertly tonight with the rail draw.

#2 GOLD FLAMES ON FIRE has lost ground in the late stages in each of his last three starts and has the looks of a unlikely longshot tonight.

#3 CREOLE WILLIAMS has jockey Caesar DeAlba on his back, which is a good sign since he rode two other horses to victory in the trials and decides to stay here for high percentage trainer Paul Jones.

#4 FIRES BLAZIN is the highest career money winner in the field ($344,744) and has a touch of class as he was the only two-year-old to qualify for three Grade 1 races in 2012.

#5 BLISTERING SPEED was only outfinished by CREOLE WILLIAMS by a half-length in the trials and has every right to improve off that finish.

#6 STEL MY CORONA, beaten favorite in the trials (to REMBERING SPENCE), won the G2 PCQH Futurity last October and could turn the tables here.

#7 BUY BUY is a filly running against the boys and was claimed by her current connections for $10,000 six starts back. Next.

#8 PERRYS AFFAIR ran the third fastest qualifier in the trials and is trained by the same trainer as REMEMBERING SPENCE.

#9 JABUTI EAGLE SA picks a tough spot for his stakes debut.

#10 HIGH SCHOOL SECRETS sprang a 10/1 upset in the trials but is unlikely to repeat that success tonight.

SELECTIONS
1. #3 CREOLE WILLIAMS – Only needs to make up 2/10th of a second on the likely favorite.

2. #1 REMEMBERING SPENCE – Marked improvement in new barn.

3. #6 STEL MY CORONA – Gets off the rail.

LONG SHOT VALUE PLAY: #5 BLISTERING SPEED – May live up to his name.

WAGERING STRATEGY
When you’re talking about tenths of a second like you do in quarter horse racing, it almost seems silly to back a favorite with little to no margin for error, so let’s make two $25 win bets on #3 CREOLE WILLIAMS and #6 STEL MY CORONA.

BANKROLL PLAY
$25 Win #3 CREOLE WILLIAMS
$25 Win #6 STEL MY CORONA

 

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